1. Once next day's contest entries are up we immediately make three choices. It really does not matter what they are: whether all consensus choices, faves, longshots, particular post position, jockey, etc...we 'put anything in "now, before handicapping" EVEN if, like today Sunday, we have a lot of lead time. Anything can happen in life that can cause one to be shut out on race day-- at least we give ourselves a fighting chance with some choice submitted.
2. We jot down the three contest race entries-- with the first two important side-by-side columns listing Morning Line & Survival selection percentage. The latter we will update at each of the following steps. In combination, both factors will usually be the most important determinants of actual selection made-- overriding traditional handicapping. This is because:
A. The posttime favorite inherits scratched choices.
B. Large groups of contestants are eliminated when popular choices fail... we don't want to be affected as well when that occurs.
C. Winning contest selections carry added value, besides the payoff size, "inverse" to how "few" others have picked them-- allowing one to pass / gain the most ground vs more contestants.
D. So that one should zag whenever the public zigs as often as possible.
3. Step 3 is to handicap initially 'utilizing ONLY a racing form, WITHOUT any adjusted figures-- the provided Bris Ultimate PP's w/ Comments are quite adequate(we use the sister TSN version actually--same difference), except for the figures, which don't make sense quite often-- although they are better than those in the Daily Racing Form.
4. On raceday eve we receive the next day's data from our professional data service. We now handicap alongside the racing form with this new data, basically adjusted times / comprehensive figures and even more detailed pertinent statistics. This step will either confirm the choices from step 3, or lead us in a different direction. As always, we immediately input the new choices.
5. First thing each morning we manually sync our computer clock-- a useful utility for this is Atomic Clock Sync.
6. By about 5 minutes to 11am on race day, the day's scratches are put up. It will now be crucial to see if missing horses change or affect the race shape-- and edit contest picks accordingly.
7. @5 minutes to 12 the track announcer lists all the day's changes & handicaps the early daily double, finishing up around 12 or so.
8. At 12:05 the handicapping seminar for the card starts-- this is a very useful last chance to glean any unknown tidbits & overlooked details-- Monmouth handicappers are very competent.
As well, any late scratches are announced here "before" being posted elsewhere. FYI the show ends @12:18-- & one needs to get any final contest change in by 12:21. We recommend you refresh the contest page just prior to making any edits-- in the past it has sometimes frozen and/or crashed the browser during confirmation process if it's been sitting open awhile. Needless to say, one should have the contest page set to remember & autologin your ID & PW.
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