Wednesday, July 23, 2008

2008 Del Mar Handicapping Challenge Eighth Day Thursday July 24

Crappy race.

IFFF one of the longshots is offered higher than 50-1, it would merit a Place bet. At 99-1, a Show bet instead... no Win bet for any of them UNLESS if offered as the ONLY longshot over 25-1-- but even then, it MUST be offered  OVER 35-1. In other words, we don't really like any of them, but too many contestants would be drawn to the ONLY longshot in the field... we must cover a potential disaster...that is why the exception re Win Bet.

Otherwise, this race looks like a pass.

Yep, many scratches, no temptingly-high odds whatsoever.

Another race in the bank-- 3 down, 8 more to go. Once we accumulate 11, we can then bet every single remaining race in the contest, to the very end. IF we tried that now w/o skipping any, we wouldn't be allowed to bet the last 8 at all.

 

When we last updated, #9(the only real longshot offered) was @21-1 with precious few minutes to go. Inside of 2 min. to post is when its odds began creeping up-- although not by a lot. Only when going to load did the odds hit the 30's. At that price we decided to bet-- only by then the race had been taken off the contest page...which can often happen when the day's post times get delayed significantly thruout the card.
That made us very angry-- & were only temporarily mollified when it broke poorly and brought up the rear-- at the end we did have a significant anxious moment or two after it closed to finish fifth. With a good break & settling position, it would've contended for the win.

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