Monday November 24 Sports Picks

EDIT2: PRACTICALLY IN A NO-LOSE SITUATION TONIGHT: CHAR PULLING AAAWAY LATE…LED MOST OF THE GAME….MEM WE  HAVE BOTH SIDES COVERED W/ A MIDDLE POSSIBILITY…NFL LOOKS LIKE WILL FULLFILL OUR THINKING: HIGH-SCORING GAME WITH ONE SIDE PULLING AWAY LATE—3 TD’S IN FIRST QUARTER, WITH ANOTHER SCORE ON THE WAY.

EDIT: ADDING FOOTBALL + CHANGING MEMPHIS BETS:  ½ unit 2-team parlays: MEM + points with:

GREEN BAY –3½ +170 to +180

GB-NO OVER 57 to 58 +180 to +190

NO –2 +112

 

We’re a little late for the first leg..7pm. Our choices are:

7pm Char +4½ to +6

8pm Mem + 3 to +4½

10½pm Clips +5½ to +7

The original plan was to round robin them. Plan B now is to find alternate lines / + odds, to avoid going 2-1(including missed first game) and still winding up in the minus column for the night.

Let’s do 1 UNIT on MEM Money Line +135 to +150.

IF we win, we’ll pull back original unit + ½ the net, and ride the rest on: LA Clips + points.

IF we lose first bet, then: second UNIT on LA Clips Money Line +180 to +240

Odds range will vary depending on book…BTW

We will be present for any hedging opportunities re second half / later quarter lines…..

EDIT: THOSE OF YOU ON CHAR CAN NOW TAKE 2ND HALF PHI –2½..YOU’LL HAVE A CHANCE AT A MIDDLE WHILE PROTECTING YOUR INITIAL BET….WE WILL MANUALLY HOOK PROCEEDS LATER TONITE INTO SOMETHING ELSE…LIKELY TO PROTECT LATER GAMES AS WELL…
IDEALLY, IF THE BOOK ALLOWS, WOULD BE TO TEASE PHI 2ND HALF W/ LA CLIPS LATER ON BTW.

SAME APPLIES TO MEM GAME ABOUT TO HIT HALFTIME, NOW REVERSE & TAKE SA 2ND HALF(PK TO –1). TEASE THAT W/ LA CLIPS.

LET’S COVER THE MIDDLE SCORE WE LEFT OPEN IN MNF…GB IS BEING OFFERED –½ +120…. LET’S TEASE THAT W/: LA CLIPS + POINTS(RIGHT NOW @ +7)

THE TOTAL WE’LL LEAVE UNPROTECTED—IT’S LESS THAN TWO TD’S AWAY FROM CLICKING.

NOW COME TAKE SOME OF THE NET FOR TONITE(CALCULATE WHAT YOU HAVE IN HAND FROM CHAR GAME + THE PAYOFFS OF EVERYTHING RIDING ON LA CLIPS TEASERS) AND BET SOME ON NO -6½….OR BETTER YET iffff YOUR BOOK ALLOWS: AN OPEN-ENDED TEASER OF NO & THE OTHER SIDE TO BE DECIDED TOMORROW.

MAKE IT SO THAT YOU PROFIT 2 PARTS IF CLIPS WIN, 1 PART IF NO WINS…..AND OF COURSE, YOU HAVE A GREAT CHANCE TO MIDDLE EVERYTHING.

WE MISSED CHAR GAME, SO WE WILL PROCEED A BIT DIFFERENTLY.

EPILOGUE

LET’S DO IT AHEAD OF TIME—MNF JUST WENT OVER IN THE THIRD QUARTER…AND WE HAVE OURSELVES GUARANTEED PROFIT NO MATTER WHO WINS BOTH FOOTBALL AND BASKETBALL GAMES.

THINK ABOUT IT:

WE’VE MADE MONEY IN SPITE OF MISSING FIRST GAME WINNER TODAY, LOSING THE NEXT BB GAME…THE FOOTBALL GAME WASN’T EVEN A ONE SIDED BET, BUT MORE OF A LEAN, AS WE BET BOTH SIDES(TOWARDS NO btw), AND WE CAN LOSE THE NIGHTCAP BB GAME AND STILL MAKE MONEY!!! WHAT A COUNTRY….A LICENSE TO PRINT MONEY!!!

THE ONLY REGRET TODAY, APART FROM MISSING FIRST GAME, IS NOT BEING ABLE TO FIND AN ALTERNATE MNF LINE WITH NO GIVING MORE POINTS.

SEE YOU NEXT TIME, TX FOR TUNING IN.

PS ONE MORE:

2ndHalf NO HORNETS -3½-110 over 93-110

LET’S DO EITHER OF TWO THINGS:

1. PROTECT(& POSSIBLY MIDDLE) SOME OF THE LARGER PROFIT RIDING ON LA CLIPS BY: TEASING NO(OPEN-ENDED)…

2. WIN MORE PROFIT WITH AN OPEN-ENDED PARLAY OF OVER 93…