HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!
We’re taking the easy rout out today—a lot of these bowl games turn out to be mismatches—it’s just hard at times to settle on who / the reason why:
from outright class superiority to jittery staff(read choke in big games) to the prolonged time off from season finale affecting timing, team cohesion, even knocking out key players(physical or moral / legal reasons) to even the case of styles make fights(to borrow a boxing lexicon..irregardless of who is the actual superior contender).
Today’s outcomes depend on which team imposes itself on the other one—in most cases our perceived better contenders are either not a scoring juggernaut and/or are known for totally shutting out foes at times at least, or at least will need to score plenty of points to win… while the perceived lesser foes do tend to score a lot(or will need to in order to have a chance)—when they’re able to contend for the win that is.
SO….. we find ourselves in a situation of having a pick in each of today’s 5 bowl games, which can be protected by taking the OVER… when our choice wins, it may still totally overwhelm and/or grind out an Over cover. IF our choice loses, it will most likely be due to not having been able to contain the opposing offense. Additionally, turnovers will likely play a big part in most of these games…and weather should not interfere…giving a potential helping hand to the Overs.
11AM
OUTBACK BOWL--
Iowa—buy points or take an alternate line so as to lay less than a field goal.
Protection: South Carolina Money Line 3/2--9/5 and/or Over 42
1PM
GATOR BOWL--
Nebraska
Combo Protection & Possible Additional Profit: Over 56
CAP1 BOWL--
Georgia--buy points or take an alternate line so as to lay less than a touchdown.
Combo Protection & Possible Additional Profit: Over 56
BET STRUCTURE--
Okie dokie: let’s take 8 UNITS and do ½ unit 2-Team Round Robins, 16 in total. Let’s use Iowa(laying under 3 points), South Carolina ML & the Over 42 each hooked to Nebraska plus points, its Over 56, Georgia(laying under a td) & its Over 56…12 total bets; then criss-cross Nebraska, Georgia, and the two Overs.
We’ll post tonight’s other games and bets later…. tune in during the halftimes for additional bets / hedges / reverses / etc.
