So far, we have banked 8 unplayed of 11 needed days.
Of more concern is the sizable lead the top handful or so have managed to attain: when we hit a longshot, we need for them to not hit it as well.
BUTTTT............the biggest challenge, re the contest though, is the parimutuel dump-- which to boot can be totally unpredictable:
The odds @ 1-2 minutes to post(and not always can one bet so close to post anyhow-- when races delay, the contest organizers usually set back the entry deadline time to reflect the adjusted posttime...but not always) and the final odds one can see on race charts can be so widespread it's not funny.
Some time ago, one horse we passed over with odds in the low-mid teens almost doubled to 25, while other longshots took more money & went down enough to leave said horse as the only longshot(double most their odds). If one missed the race and just looked at the chart later, one would be so sure of having had that if on time(along with many contestants-- who you'd think would be attracted to the only longshot in the field)....
This happened again a couple of days ago, although not to our selection:
we had been monitoring the 5 largest ML entrants, with the intention of playing whichever was the significantly largest longshot--
we were on a cap horse, the other 4 offered little value...all in the teens. Well, one of them went to 25 after the bell and just held on in the race to grab the win.
BTW our cap horse was only @25 when we selected it, after having yoyoed up & down between 17-21 most of the time, hoping it would drift up instead. We were rewarded by seing 30 as they loaded, eventually passing cap limit after the bell.
In fact, @ 4-5 min. to post all the odds were so low that we almost took off, but decided to stick around.
Our complaint is not that we would've had that winner, but how it rewarded unsound strategy:
Now we currently have contest leaders who, barring those who selected early / were not around @ posttime, got there with the most unsound, clueless strategy imaginable-- they have two longshot winners that they selected when they were in the low-mid teens...vs other higher-odds entrants already present!
The only possible excuse to select such a beast is when having singled it out as the towering best-- although that would make said person the Einstein of handicapping with a license to print money.
Now, we don't begrudge anyone success... but come on....
It's like handicapping doesn't count & wagering odds are not often what they seem-- one needs a Ouija board just to guess what they will be.
Pre-bet 7 & 10.
Contest interface wouldn't cancel either bet(odds too low) close to post time.
We just wanted refunds, had no alternate worthwhile, value choice(s).
There were only 3 cap horses in here: 1, 2, 3 and they stood NO chance 'whatsoever'.
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