DAY ONE- SATURDAY MAY 26

Belated Posting-- we tried making the live Simulcast Challenge-- so couldn't post Survivor analysis pre-race. *** As it turned out, we missed that tournament. *** Here's that analysis...shortened btw. We did go 3 for 3 today, but don't get any ideas we're chalk-eaters. *** We're tied for 8th from 3442 contestants, $3 from the top... but, as we've said before, that means nothing...surviving is the key. *** One fourteenth of the field eliminated today, in spite of two 3/5 winners, BUT...1000+ did not log in to make a pick...& may not again this weekend, thus eliminating them totally. *** Race 8: Allowance races today hold a unique handicapping methodology lesson, per Quinn & Quirin: Look for the stereotypical horse for this class-- young, lightly-raced & improving numbers-wise race to race(hopefully not just one of the three internal race fig segments is improving, but two & possibly all three). Toss out seconditis & pro-maiden candidates, the more races the worse, the older the worse, the more gaps in races/works the worse, the more inept the connections the worse. *** We recommend you scan the pp's and circle your candidates before glancing at any pace/speed/connections figs-- in this day and age we tend to focus too much on the figs accomplished yesterday instead of thinking re what projected number improvement is possible today. Afterwards, you can then utilize the rest of your arsenal to prune out your contenders. *** In this race only two contenders merit consideration, one a likely fave-- the other at a middle price: 6 & 9 Fortuitously, the first one scratched out, leaving us w/ a nice 13+-1 price. We'll also include this horse in our parimutuel show parlay progression for the day. As well, the 10 is worth laying at an exchange-- should get a 30% price. *** Race 9 *** Not much to choose from here. The ML fave is a confirmed frontrunning-quitter...however, he projects to be open lengths in front of the closest speedster...factor in Monmouth's speed bias & we'll take it, hoping for an in the money finish; as the rest are totally uninspiring-- none can run to par for this class, and they're either cheap speed or closing plodders..."none" of the latter are on any kind of significant upward form cycle. *** Race 10 *** Win contenders: 4/5/7/9/10/11...6 might hit the board, but is NOT a win contender. We favor the 5 slightly-- it will be our choice. Those looking to Lay, take whomever's the most-favored among the rest, including the 6. Scratches: 3/4/5/10 We now were left w/ 7/9/11...which is precisely the order in which we fancied them. Likely wouldn't get a great price on the 7, but we felt it the most likely of the rest to hit the board. *** Layers, either 1 or 6 is worth taking-- we'll include a $2.68 price offered on the 6 & include it in our show parlay progression today. *** PS the 7 sure raised our blood pressure today, as we were sitting on a possible 3 for 3 day(a separate bonus prize category): breaks thru the gate pre-start, breaks poorly, circles the field late. *** As mentioned earlier, got shut out of the live contest.