Monday, May 28, 2007

DAY THREE- MONDAY MAY 28

Almost 30% / 1000 contestants eliminated first two days..... Another 1000 teeter on the brink of elimination: ½ those already used their free pass, the other ½ have only squeaked by each day with one horse in the money. And things have not gotten difficult yet...all 6 races so far have been fairly easy to dope out. *** The first two races today, 8 & 9, are horrible-- not a single horse can run to par...with no towering standout either; while the meet's top % riders are skipping them for the most part. *** We originally took both Elliot mounts early, but he's only getting 30% 'in the money'.....so, we're audibling to: ***
Race 8
#5- Seems to run well off the layoff + should be advantaged by Monmouth's frontrunning bias...and attracts the best jock of the group by far.
Race 9
We reluctantly took the #4 fave here based on the sizzling connections and potential: third race both off the layoff & as a 3yo. Although it sports the best closing fig, its early numbers are absolutely glacial...but then again, it can't really be faulted because it faced slow paces in all races-- it hasn't been a case where it couldn't keep up with fast early paces. It may not win, but it should be flying late.
Race 10
This race probably presents our safest bet. Although our original choice scratched, other scratches lead us to surmise the #1 may well have its way on the front end...this will be its third race off the layoff & on upward form cycle.
***
Good luck.